Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 353.924668 400.711304 452.387984 513.873347 585.259299 665.793370 763.897742
2025-12-28 291.883975 355.666290 432.405157 532.274362 659.889149 818.943221 1034.453604
2026-01-04 259.570468 332.265727 424.945628 553.282929 728.774853 963.847503 1308.537349
2026-01-11 230.484792 306.590961 408.139788 555.899046 769.366305 1072.827381 1548.391595
2026-01-18 204.014276 280.032127 385.331512 544.997715 786.612479 1148.016236 1748.132568
2026-01-25 182.985377 258.090775 365.573988 534.577039 801.099369 1218.476244 1949.252365
2026-02-01 171.955388 249.003350 362.820795 548.284229 853.007119 1352.728485 2276.269119
2026-02-08 158.755426 235.136770 351.095475 546.000757 877.975501 1445.141873 2545.597395
2026-02-15 146.655187 221.675631 338.418258 540.269888 895.652452 1526.358468 2807.456184
2026-02-22 138.028037 212.788863 331.960704 543.809528 929.216060 1639.708968 3151.316028
2026-03-01 128.066085 200.834526 319.284823 535.034049 939.062511 1709.561558 3418.820010
2026-03-08 120.008313 191.312107 309.743403 530.605162 956.068168 1794.996535 3735.222037
2026-03-15 109.685479 177.374873 291.803425 509.673117 940.013965 1814.241289 3913.556829
2026-03-22 106.480621 175.363120 294.467491 527.381646 1002.634491 2006.533484 4540.324772
2026-03-29 103.958277 174.283471 298.600090 548.198627 1074.220067 2229.785659 5298.027844
2026-04-05 99.083749 168.600436 293.786748 550.784881 1107.491786 2372.327151 5882.016615
2026-04-12 92.898646 160.069372 282.940643 539.999673 1110.082799 2443.443376 6288.185081
2026-04-19 87.317382 152.255403 272.828976 529.689534 1112.380075 2514.151030 6711.291941
2026-04-26 85.004697 150.382781 274.000760 543.251247 1171.338433 2736.123905 7648.443110
2026-05-03 81.077757 145.153512 268.140768 540.992050 1192.493258 2864.149454 8327.913490
2026-05-10 77.087607 139.532197 261.061455 535.322034 1204.596981 2970.100667 8965.985823
2026-05-17 74.322637 136.120142 258.196584 538.824100 1240.030864 3146.749075 9902.739823
2026-05-24 70.567060 130.500461 250.360400 530.141702 1243.160018 3232.021461 10537.233832